AOS Forecast


Bullish Case: AOS recent acquisition and options volume surge indicate strong investor confidence. Historical returns show potential for positive price movement over longer holding periods. Stability in implied volatility supports steady gains.


Bearish Case: AOS options implied volatility surface suggests a potential for high volatility in certain strike prices, implying uncertainty. Mean reverting price action and neutral AI forecast point to limited upside potential in the short term.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable price with minor gains given mean reversion (50%).

2. Significant price drop if volatility spikes (30%).

3. Moderate increase driven by acquisition synergies (20%).


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June 24, 2024


A.O. Smith Forecast

AOS      A.O. Smith











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AOS



H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (0.96)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.96)


XHB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XHB  SPDR Homebuilders (0.96)


TGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGT  Target (0.95)


CNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNM  Core & Main (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AOS



LITE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LITE  Lumentum (-0.0)


AAPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAPL  Apple (0.0)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.0)


UAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAA  Under Armour (0.0)


GENI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GENI  Genius Sports (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AOS



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.92)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.92)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.93)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)





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