AI CID Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: CID's historical return surface indicates strong potential for recovery, especially in 1-2 year horizons where positive returns cluster significantly. Global dividend growth may also shift sentiment favorably.


Bearish Case: Continued economic pressures, including global slowdowns, may sustain CID's volatility. Patterns suggest a high likelihood of negative returns in the near term, particularly in shorter holding periods.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Short-term bearish trend continuation (55%);

2) Medium-term bounce-back in valuations (30%);

3) Extended bearish pressure for over two years (15%). Predictions based on PAM and historical performance trends.


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September 12, 2024


Victory Portfolios II - VictoryShares International High Div Volatility Wtd Forecast

CID      Victory Portfolios II - VictoryShares International High Div Volatility Wtd











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CID



DVY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVY  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Select Dividend (0.94)


FHN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FHN  First Horizon (0.93)


EFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EFA  BTC iShares MSCI EAFE (0.93)


EWC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWC  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Canada (0.93)


MS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MS  Morgan Stanley (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CID



BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (0.0)


INTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTA  Intapp (0.0)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.0)


MDLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MDLZ  Mondelez International (0.01)


BBIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBIO  BridgeBio Pharma (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CID



VIXM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXM  ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures (-0.84)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.85)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.89)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.89)





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