DOUG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Bullish sentiment arises from Douglas Elliman's new CEO and strategic plans amidst mean-reverting trends and potential Manhattan real estate recovery.




Bearish Case: High volatility and ongoing legal issues, along with a stagnant real estate market, suggest continued declines in DOUG's valuation.




Potential Outcomes: DOUG faces a 40% chance of recovery if real estate markets rebound, 60% chance of further declines due to legal and market challenges.



March 26, 2025


Douglas Elliman Forecast

DOUG        Douglas Elliman











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PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (0.73)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (0.73)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.73)


EWBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWBC  East West Bancorp (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DOUG



ABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABR  Arbor Realty (-0.01)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.01)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.01)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (-0.02)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DOUG



WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.64)


FRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRO  Frontline (-0.65)


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.66)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.68)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.68)









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