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AI EEA Forecast

Bullish Case: The EEA shows resilience amidst political unrest, buoyed by potential economic growth and recovery. Historical data suggests strong returns over 2-5 years aligning with bullish sentiment in European equities fueled by improving earnings reports.

Bearish Case: Political instability in France continues to threaten investor confidence, leading to potential economic slowdowns. Recent downgrades by financial institutions and rising inflation could result in declines in EEA’s performance and market sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. European Economic Growth (30%) – Recovery signals could improve market stability.

2. Continued Political Instability in France (25%) – Heightened volatility impacting investor actions.

3. Market Corrections Due to High Volatility (20%) – Adjustments driven by investor reactions.

4. Positive Earnings Season (25%) – Increased corporate earnings reports lifting stock prices.

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August 26, 2024

European Equity Forecast

EEA European Equity

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EEA

EPP BTC iShares MSCI Pacific (0.96)

EFA BTC iShares MSCI EAFE (0.96)

NXPI NXP Semiconductors (0.95)

PRU Prudential Financial (0.94)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EEA

SAVA Cassava Sciences (-0.0)

SVOL Simplify Volatility Premium (0.01)

ANDE Andersons (0.01)

HSY Hershey (-0.01)

EUO ProShares UltraShort Euro (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EEA

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.9)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.92)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.93)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.93)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)

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