EEA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: EEA shows potential for positive returns over 1-2 years, supported by strong European equities and fading US attractiveness, according to historical data and ETF inflows.




Bearish Case: Political instability in Europe and high implied volatility signal potential corrections. Increased tariffs and geopolitical risks could further dampen growth, impacting EEA negatively.




Potential Outcomes:

1. European growth resurgence (35%).

2. Political instability (20%).

3. Tariff-induced market shifts (25%).

4. Robust European earnings (20%).



April 01, 2025


European Equity Forecast

EEA        European Equity











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EEA



TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.81)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.71)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.7)


AMGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMGN  AMGEN (0.68)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EEA



NBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NBR  Nabors Industries (0.0)


MSGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSGE  Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp - (-0.0)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (0.0)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.01)


MREO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MREO  Mereo Biopharma Group Plc (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EEA



CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (-0.52)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.52)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.53)


UNIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNIT  Uniti (-0.56)


HRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRI  Herc (-0.62)









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