Bullish Case: BlackRock's formal application for an Ethereum-based ETF could potentially attract significant retail investors and thereby increase Ethereum's price [Coin Desk][coinbold.io]. The unveiling of Tokenum's groundbreaking gasless technology simplifies transactions and could attract new users, which might also boost Ethereum value [Yahoo].


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Bearish Case: High network traffic following BlackRock's ETF filing resulted in significant increases in Ethereum fees, which could make the platform unattractive for smaller or retail investors [Coin Desk]. Crypto liquidations totaling $433 million in 24 hours could signal over-leveraging and increased risk, having negative implications on ETH price [coinspeaker.com].


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Takeaway: Ethereum's future price could be significantly influenced by BlackRock's potential ETF approval and the resulting institutional capital inflow. However, investors considering entering the Ethereum market should be cautious of the potential regulatory scrutiny and inflated transaction fees [Coin Desk][Coin Desk].


Show historical takeaways

Potential Outcomes:

1. Ethereum ETF by BlackRock gets approved: 20% chance [Metaculus]. This could bring substantial institutional capital and increase Ethereum’s price. It is uncertain due to regulatory environment [Coin Desk].

2. Ethereum gets deemed as a security before 2030: 17% probability [Metaculus]. This could lead to increased regulation and might hinder Ethereum's price growth.

3. Ethereum's transaction fees consistently increase: 50% estimated probability. If repeated ETF filings lead to fee surges, it could deter retail investors and suppress price growth.


November 14, 2023


Ethereum Forecast

[ETH]  Ethereum
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)

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