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FRA Forecast


Bullish Case: Infrastructure investments and rising floating rate demand amid increasing interest rates could boost FRA's returns, aligning with historical return trends that show positive performance over time.



Bearish Case: Ongoing economic uncertainties and potential interest rate hikes might suppress FRA’s growth, as indicated by historical patterns suggesting limited upside with significant downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Infrastructure boost leading to +7% returns (40%)
2. Continued flat performance (30%)
3. Downturn driven by economic instability (-6% to -10%, 30%)
4. Rate stability maintaining returns (20%)



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November 14, 2024


Blackrock Floating Rate Income Strategies Forecast

FRA        Blackrock Floating Rate Income Strategies

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FRA


BAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAC  Bank Of America (0.89)


TOST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TOST  Toast (0.89)


DSGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DSGX  Descartes Systems (0.88)


APO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APO  Apollo (0.88)


JXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JXN  Jackson Financial (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FRA


SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (0.0)


SWBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWBI  Smith & Wesson Brands (0.0)


CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (0.01)


GLBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLBE  Global E Online (-0.01)


EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FRA


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (-0.78)


COUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COUR  Coursera (-0.79)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.8)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.83)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.85)







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