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GRBK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: A strong housing market and positive earnings trajectory drive $GRBK's growth. Low price-to-book ratio enhances investment appeal.

Bearish Case: High volatility and recent insider selling signal vulnerability to downturns, with market conditions potentially driving corrections.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Market-driven rally boosts GRBK by 15% (40%).

2. Economic downturn causes 10% decline (30%).

3. Stagnation with minor fluctuations (30%).

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May 20, 2025

Green Brick Forecast

GRBK Green Brick

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GRBK

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.84)

HIW Highwoods Properties (0.83)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.81)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.79)

ES Eversource Energy (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GRBK

AIQ Global X Funds - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology (0.01)

QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ (-0.01)

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.01)

PDD Pinduoduo (-0.01)

GWRE Guidewire Software (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GRBK

BB BlackBerry (-0.5)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.55)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.56)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.62)

TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.73)

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