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IESC Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: IESC's implied volatility structure indicates heightened market anticipation for upward movement, driven by rising demand for its wildfire services amid increasing risk. Historical returns suggest a favorable long-term growth trajectory, enhancing bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: Caution is warranted as elevated implied volatility may reflect market anxiety about regulatory pressures and competition. Recent price fluctuations suggest potential resistance to sustained upward momentum, highlighting inherent risks.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Wildfire risks increase demand (60%);

2) Regulatory changes could hinder growth (30%);

3) Competition intensifies, impacting market share (40%);

4) Unexpected downturn (25%). Recent trends necessitate vigilance regarding these variables.



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November 12, 2024


IES Forecast

IESC        IES

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MOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOD  Modine Manufacturing (0.96)


ITA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITA  BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IESC


STRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STRA  Strategic Education (-0.0)


TTEK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTEK  Tetra Tech (-0.01)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.01)


LUV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUV  Southwest Airlines (0.02)


CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IESC


AZUL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZUL  Azul (-0.89)


CABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CABA  Cabaletta Bio (-0.89)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.9)


PGNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGNY  Progyny (-0.9)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.92)







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