MAR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Marriott's global expansion and luxury demand boost revenues, supported by consistently high RevPAR. The brand's strong market presence in Asia and luxury segments underpins future growth potential.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price drop suggest potential overvaluation. Significant insider trading and flat market performance raise concerns about investor confidence and stock stability.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful global expansion: 60% chance.


2. Continued market volatility: 20% chance.


3. Insider trading impacts sentiment: 20% chance.



April 13, 2025


Marriott International Forecast

MAR        Marriott International











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