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MAV Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MAV's focus on municipal bonds, supported by potential government intervention and robust tax-exempt income, makes it attractive amidst interest rate instability.



Bearish Case: High exposure to interest rate risk and credit quality concerns could lead to a decline. Recent flat returns suggest diminished momentum.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Government intervention boosts prices (25%).
  • Shareholder exit causes decline (15%).
  • Stable dividends ease volatility (30%).
  • Continued flat performance (30%).


March 18, 2025


Pioneer Municipal High Income Advantage Forecast

MAV        Pioneer Municipal High Income Advantage

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MAV


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.91)


XLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLP  Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (0.89)


PNW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNW  Pinnacle West (0.88)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.88)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MAV


VIXM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXM  ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures (-0.0)


AAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAL  American Airlines (-0.01)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.01)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (0.02)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MAV


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (-0.77)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.8)


TRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRIP  TripAdvisor (-0.81)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.81)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.81)







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