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NFLX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NFLX maintains robust content innovation and subscriber growth, bolstered by popular new releases and strong market sentiment. Steady global expansion strengthens its foothold in diverse markets.

Bearish Case: Intense competition and rising content costs could pressure NFLX margins. Potential subscriber saturation and macroeconomic conditions may harm future growth, leading to increased volatility.

Potential Outcomes: Continued content success driving growth (45%).
Competitive pressures slowing subscriber gains (35%).
Regulatory or legal challenges impacting operations (20%).

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February 21, 2025

NetFlix Forecast

NFLX NetFlix

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NFLX

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.96)

APP Applovin Corp (0.96)

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.96)

KNTK Kinetik (0.94)

SAP Sap SE (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NFLX

EIX Edison International (0.01)

VTRS Viatris (-0.01)

IMO Imperial Oil (-0.02)

CPS Cooper-Standard (0.02)

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NFLX

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.89)

RIG Transocean (-0.9)

SRG Seritage Growth Properties (-0.9)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.92)

GES Guess (-0.95)

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