PAYX Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Helium's implied volatility forecasts indicate stability in PAYX within a healthy growth sector. Recent buybacks and consistent dividends support an upward bias, enhancing investor confidence. A potential broader market recovery could further elevate PAYX’s share price.




Bearish Case: Insider selling and low trading volumes suggest underlying sentiment issues. The potential for economic contraction and sustained high valuations could lead to a price correction. Significant implied volatility indicates market caution ahead.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 55% chance of price increase due to strong HCM performance and recovery in demand;

2. 30% potential stagnation amidst high valuations;

3. 15% risk of significant decline due to economic downturns impacting payroll services.




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November 20, 2024


Paychex Forecast

PAYX        Paychex











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PAYX



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SPYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYV  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.73)


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.72)


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ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PAYX



JOBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOBY  Joby Aviation (0.01)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.02)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.03)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.03)


HOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOG  Harley-Davidson (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PAYX



IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.65)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.66)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.67)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.68)


AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (-0.72)









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