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PHD Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The historical price return surface suggests potential for moderate gains in holding periods, driven by mean-reversion trends. Positive sentiment on social media further boosts confidence in $PHD's undervaluation.



Bearish Case: Flat recent price action and external economic pressures could lead to continued stagnation or declines. Historical data indicates a higher likelihood of negative returns in shorter holding periods.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Moderate gains (50%): Mean reversion over holding periods.
  2. Short-term stagnation (35%): Ongoing flat trends.
  3. Unexpected downturn (15%): Economic shocks or negative sentiment.


June 27, 2025


Pioneer Floating Rate Forecast

PHD        Pioneer Floating Rate

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PHD


BSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSY  Bentley Systems (0.72)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.64)


GOOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOS  Canada Goose Holdings Inc (Subord Vot Shs) (0.63)


SIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIG  Signet Jewelers (0.6)


XLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLK  Technology Select Sector SPDR (0.56)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PHD


IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (0.01)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.01)


CVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVX  Chevron (0.01)


CMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMI  Cummins (0.01)


SABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SABR  Sabre (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PHD


SXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SXC  SunCoke Energy (-0.24)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.28)


CPRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPRT  Copart (-0.31)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (-0.43)


COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (-0.48)







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