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AI ROOF Forecast

Bullish Case: ROOF's historical price return surface highlights a strong uptick in price returns around the 1-2 year mark, suggesting potential growth driven by increasing demand and inventory constraints in the real estate sector.

Bearish Case: Persistently high mortgage rates and potential economic instability could suppress demand, leading to further downward pressure on ROOF prices, as indicated by historical return patterns exhibiting flat performance over extended holding periods.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued high mortgage rates (60%);

2) Increased housing demand due to localized economic development (45%);

3) Market downturn from economic shocks or political instability (50%);

4) Technological advancements influencing real estate (35%).

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September 10, 2024

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ROOF IQ U.S. Real Estate Small Cap

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ROOF

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.98)

DRN Direxion Real Estate Bull 3x Shares (0.98)

XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (0.97)

BXP Boston Properties (0.92)

AMT American Tower (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ROOF

KSS Kohl's (0.0)

ULTA Ulta Beauty (0.0)

FTV Fortive (0.0)

MEOH Methanex (-0.01)

DKNG DraftKings (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ROOF

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.73)

CELH Celsius (-0.74)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.91)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)

DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)

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