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TGT Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Target's aggressive pricing strategy and strategic initiatives could boost customer retention and sales, driving a potential rebound despite current challenges.



Bearish Case: Target faces significant hurdles with declining sales, political backlash, and higher implied volatility, potentially leading to continued stock underperformance.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Stock stabilizes (40%)—due to pricing strategies.
  • Continues decline (30%)—from persistent sales challenges.
  • Sales rebound fuels growth (20%).
  • Unforeseen geopolitical events affect outcomes (10%).


June 17, 2025


Target Forecast

TGT        Target

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