TRV Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish




Bullish Case: TRV's historical price behavior suggests potential recovery as the recent mean reversion points to upward price action, supported by bullish sentiment from option activity favoring calls over puts.




Bearish Case: Despite potential upside, current market uncertainty and historical low trading volumes increase risks of downward corrections, particularly amidst unpredictable economic conditions.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45%: Continued EPS growth drives price appreciation.
  • 30%: Market volatility leads to a moderate correction.
  • 25%: Sideways trading due to mixed signals and low liquidity.




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December 05, 2024


Travelers Companies Forecast

TRV        Travelers Companies











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TRV



IHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IHI  BTC iShares U.S. Medical (0.89)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (0.88)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.88)


TPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPG  TPG (0.86)


ACM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACM  AECOM (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TRV



BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (-0.0)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (0.01)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (0.01)


RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TRV



AMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMN  AMN Healthcare Services (-0.67)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.68)


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (-0.69)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.74)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.81)









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