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UFO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: High implied volatility suggests market expectation of significant events. Possible military contracts could drive price upwards, given historical correlations with aerospace sector surges.

Bearish Case: Substantial implied volatility indicates market uncertainty. Potential failures in contract negotiations or market sentiment shifts may lead to downturns.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive military contract developments: +25% (30%)

2. Stable conditions: ±5% (50%)

3. Major bearish shift: -35% (20%)

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December 27, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UFO

CLPT ClearPoint Neuro (0.9)

COMM CommScope (0.9)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.89)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.87)

INFY Infosys (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UFO

ARKG ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (-0.01)

SCHW Charles Schwab (-0.02)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.02)

IAC IAC InterActiveCorp. (0.02)

SU Suncor Energy (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UFO

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.72)

PSX Phillips 66 (-0.75)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.75)

VAL Valaris (-0.77)

RILY B. Riley Financial (-0.8)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.