VDE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Rising energy prices due to geopolitical tensions and mean reversion tendencies support a bullish case HeliumHelium.




Bearish Case: Potential economic slowdowns and regulatory pressures could lead to further declines in VDE, affecting demand HeliumHelium.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Oil rebound boosts VDE (45%).

2. Mean reversion stabilizes prices (35%).

3. Economic decline leads to further drops (20%) HeliumHelium.




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January 22, 2025


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Energy Forecast

VDE        Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Energy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VDE



FENY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FENY  Fidelity Covington Trust - Fidelity MSCI Energy Index (1.0)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.86)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (0.74)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (0.73)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VDE



EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.0)


JOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOE  St. Joe (0.0)


ROIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROIV  Roivant Sciences (-0.0)


MT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MT  New York Shares (0.0)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VDE



CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (-0.55)


GMRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GMRE  Global Medical REIT (-0.58)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.58)


CALX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALX  Calix (-0.63)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.7)









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