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WFH Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Increased demand for flexible work policies may drive WFH prices higher, aided by strong historical returns and a market adjusting to remote work norms. Helium's implied volatility suggests further upward potential.

Bearish Case: Heightened corporate mandates for in-office work, alongside present economic uncertainties, may dampen WFH demand, leading to price declines. The market’s implied volatility reflects these anxieties.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Modest price increase (+5%): 35% chance, driven by resilient demand for WFH solutions.

2. Severe decline (-20%): 25% chance, due to rising in-office mandates.

3. Stability (±0%): 40% chance, if hybrid models persist without drastic changes.

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November 15, 2024

Direxion Work From Home Forecast

WFH Direxion Work From Home

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WFH

HACK ETFMG Prime Cyber Security (0.9)

IHI BTC iShares U.S. Medical (0.82)

TRV Travelers Companies (0.79)

MANH Manhattan Associates (0.78)

CYBR CyberArk Software (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WFH

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (0.0)

DQ Daqo New Energy (0.0)

U Unity Software (-0.0)

RIOT Riot Blockchain (-0.0)

CLSK Cleanspark (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WFH

RIG Transocean (-0.57)

RILY B. Riley Financial (-0.58)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.6)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.62)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.66)

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