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Bullish Case: CVGI poised for growth with EV adoption, infrastructure expansion, and robust commercial vehicle market. Strategic shifts and new leadership could harness these tailwinds effectively.


Bearish Case: Stiff competition in telematics, rapid EV transition and supply chain issues could strain CVGI, already evidenced by stagnant growth and recent negative price action.


Potential Outcomes:

1) CVGI adapts, capturing EV growth, stock up (45%).

2) Market saturation, competition, stunts CVGI's progress (35%).

3) Cyclical downturn, regulation impacts, CVGI drops further (15%).

4) Unpredictable event disrupts market, extreme CVGI volatility (5%).


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April 11, 2024


Commercial Vehicle Forecast

CVGI        Commercial Vehicle
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with CVGI



QCLN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [QCLN]  First Trust Nasdaq Clean Edge Green Energy Index (0.93)


LAZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LAZR]  Luminar (0.91)


PRTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PRTA]  Prothena (0.91)


AMRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AMRC]  Ameresco (0.91)


GDOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GDOT]  Green Dot (0.9)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to CVGI



VIPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VIPS]  Vipshop (-0.0)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GLNG]  Golar Lng (-0.0)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CORT]  Corcept Therapeutics (-0.0)


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CMCSA]  Comcast (0.0)


VLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VLY]  Valley National Bancorp (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against CVGI



TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TW]  Tradeweb Markets (-0.86)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LRN]  Stride (-0.86)


CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CB]  Chubb (-0.87)


FRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FRO]  Frontline (-0.87)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [STNG]  Scorpio Tankers (-0.88)





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