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Bullish Case: Strong Q4 earnings, a substantial Space Force contract, and above-consensus revenue predictions for 2024 suggest KTOS's upward trajectory.


Bearish Case: Recent insider sales, potential volatility in the defense sector, and a mean-reverting price action could signal upcoming challenges for KTOS.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 60% chance of growth on government contracts.

2) 25% chance of stagnation with investor skepticism.

3) 15% downside risk on insider selling impact.


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April 17, 2024


Kratos Defense & Security Forecast

KTOS        Kratos Defense & Security
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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ATGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATGE  Adtalem Global Education (0.89)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

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MGM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGM  MGM Resorts International (-0.0)


AXSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXSM  Axsome Therapeutics (0.0)


ACAD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACAD  Acadia Pharmaceuticals (0.0)


TTD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTD  Trade Desk (0.01)


SKYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYT  SkyWater Technology (0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against KTOS



CHAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHAU  Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Share Bull 2X Shares (-0.84)


HSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSY  Hershey (-0.85)


BMY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMY  Bristol-Myers Squibb (-0.85)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (-0.85)


FNV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNV  Franco-Nevada (-0.87)





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