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Bullish Case: Surging Bitcoin prices and anticipation of the Bitcoin halving elevate MSTR's vast BTC holdings, generating potential substantial appreciation in its asset base and stock price.


Bearish Case: Increased regulation, potential adverse developments in the crypto market, and high dependency on Bitcoin price fluctuations could negatively impact MSTR's market valuation.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Bitcoin rally continues boosting MSTR, 60% chance;

2) Regulatory crackdown dampens growth, 30% chance;

3) Bitcoin volatility adversely impacts MSTR, 10% chance.


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April 23, 2024


Microstrategy Forecast

MSTR        Microstrategy
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: RANDOM (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with MSTR



COIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [COIN]  Coinbase (0.97)


HII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HII]  Huntington Ingalls Industries (0.94)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [RACE]  Ferrari (0.93)


COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [COOP]  Mr. Cooper (0.93)


PCAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PCAR]  Paccar (0.93)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to MSTR



FTNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FTNT]  Fortinet (-0.0)


PSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PSA]  Public Storage (-0.0)


GLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GLW]  Corning (-0.0)


PCG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PCG]  PG&E (-0.01)


SMAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SMAR]  Smartsheet (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against MSTR



AGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AGL]  Agilon Health (-0.89)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UVXY]  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.89)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPXS]  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VXX]  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.91)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TECS]  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)





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