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Bullish Case: AVITA Medical's strong Q4 and positive guidance for 2024, coupled with an expanding commercial field and upcoming FDA approvals, points to robust growth potential. Insider initiativeness in stock purchase suggests confidence in their strategy's success.


Bearish Case: Recent insider sales and a significant drop in stock price reflect concerns over the company's current valuation. Persistent losses and the need for ongoing capital could place additional pressure on the stock.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful FDA approval and RECELL GO launch: 70% probability.

2. Missed revenue targets due to market condition changes: 30%.

3. Increased market share with international expansions: 60%.


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April 18, 2024


AVITA Medical Forecast

RCEL        AVITA Medical
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






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