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Bullish Case: YPF's commitment to Vaca Muerta and becoming a net exporter by 2030 suggest robust future cash flows. The recent price action, favorable AI forecasts, and historical mean reversion tendencies support a strong upside potential.


Bearish Case: Significant uncertainty due to legal risks, ongoing inflation and currency volatility could compress margins and hinder operational achievements, potentially dragging down investor confidence and stock performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful Vaca Muerta development (60%): Strengthens financials.

2. Inflation outstrips price adjustments (30%): Erodes profitability.

3. Increased geopolitical risk (10%): Could significantly disrupt operations.


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April 23, 2024


YPF Forecast

YPF        YPF
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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