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Bullish Case: Steady dividend history, low price-to-book ratio, and Helium's bullish short volatility signals suggest ED’s sustained growth and resilient performance.


Bearish Case: High dividend payout ratio and market underperformance indicate potential for downside risk and skepticism towards ED’s ability to maintain dividend growth.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Bullish sentiment overpowers (30%) - dividend stability

2. Bearish reality hits (45%) - payout sustainability doubts

3. Unchanged trajectory (25%) - balanced forces.


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April 09, 2024


Consolidated Edison Forecast

ED        Consolidated Edison
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with ED



SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SO]  Southern (0.89)


SRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SRE]  Sempra Energy (0.88)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CNP]  Centerpoint Energy (0.87)


ADC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ADC]  Agree Realty (0.84)


XLU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [XLU]  Utilities Select Sector SPDR (0.84)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to ED



EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EWW]  iShares MSCI Mexico (0.0)


SNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SNA]  Snap-on (0.0)


ZTS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ZTS]  Zoetis (0.0)


SMTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SMTC]  Semtech (-0.0)


EFX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EFX]  Equifax (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against ED



MTRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MTRX]  Matrix Service (-0.71)


SM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SM]  SM Energy (-0.72)


J Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [J]  Jacobs Engineering Group (-0.72)


YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [YCS]  ProShares UltraShort Yen (-0.73)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TBT]  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.73)





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