Sell GM price insurance using options spreads with defined max loss and positive convexity.


Credit: $128      Max Loss: $921

14% Return     (89% Annual)

Probability of Profit (?)

Market probability of profit 74%       Helium probability of profit 65%

Expected Value (?)

Market expected value $80       Helium expected value $-38

Historical Performance: 14 Trades

Return: 9%     (11% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


GM trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of GM. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is GM last closing price.



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Optimized March 28, 2023.

Max Win: $378      Max Loss: $721

52% Return     (111% Annual)

Probability of Profit (?)

Market probability of profit 56%       Helium probability of profit 66%

Expected Value (?)

Market expected value $105       Helium expected value $69

Historical Performance: 15 Trades

Return: 13%     (14% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


GM trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of GM. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is GM last closing price.



Become a more powerful investor.

    



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Optimized March 28, 2023.