Trade with edge: Defined-risk JNJ trades with asymmetric payouts and defined max loss.


risk 1 to make 492.3

Max Loss: $31  Max Win: $14769

Probability of Profit (?)

Helium probability of profit 26%      Market probability of profit 30%

Expected Value (?)

Helium expected value $-6      Market expected value $264

Historical Performance: 15 Trades

Return: 51%     (57% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


JNJ trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of JNJ. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is JNJ last closing price.


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Optimized March 28, 2023.

risk 1 to make 4.3

Max Loss: $47  Max Win: $202

Probability of Profit (?)

Helium probability of profit 18%      Market probability of profit 15%

Expected Value (?)

Helium expected value $12      Market expected value $-15

Historical Performance: 15 Trades

Return: -72%     (-80% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


JNJ trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of JNJ. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is JNJ last closing price.


Become a more powerful investor.

    



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Optimized March 28, 2023.