Trade with edge: Defined-risk KR trades with asymmetric payouts and defined max loss.


risk 1 to make 29.9

Max Loss: $159  Max Win: $4740

Probability of Profit (?)

Helium probability of profit 47%      Market probability of profit 49%

Expected Value (?)

Helium expected value $75      Market expected value $185

Historical Performance: 14 Trades

Return: -59%     (-65% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


KR trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of KR. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is KR last closing price.


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Optimized March 28, 2023.

risk 1 to make Unlimited

Max Loss: $83  Max Win: Unlimited

Probability of Profit (?)

Helium probability of profit 28%      Market probability of profit 33%

Expected Value (?)

Helium expected value $-4      Market expected value $209

Historical Performance: 14 Trades

Return: 23%     (25% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


KR trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of KR. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is KR last closing price.


Become a more powerful investor.

    



Share Link:

Optimized March 28, 2023.