Sell KR price insurance using options spreads with defined max loss and positive convexity.


Credit: $281      Max Loss: $718

39% Return     (152% Annual)

Probability of Profit (?)

Market probability of profit 55%       Helium probability of profit 55%

Expected Value (?)

Market expected value $279       Helium expected value $47

Historical Performance: 12 Trades

Return: 11%     (12% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


KR trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of KR. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is KR last closing price.



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Optimized March 28, 2023.

Credit: $36      Max Loss: $113

33% Return     (363% Annual)

Probability of Profit (?)

Market probability of profit 62%       Helium probability of profit 68%

Expected Value (?)

Market expected value $48       Helium expected value $387

Historical Performance: 12 Trades

Return: -11%     (-12% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


KR trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of KR. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is KR last closing price.



Become a more powerful investor.

    



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Optimized March 28, 2023.