Trade with edge: Defined-risk ZM trades with asymmetric payouts and defined max loss.


risk 1 to make 5.5

Max Loss: $62  Max Win: $338

Probability of Profit (?)

Helium probability of profit 17%      Market probability of profit 24%

Expected Value (?)

Helium expected value $-36      Market expected value $11

Historical Performance: 18 Trades

Return: -56%     (-62% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


ZM trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of ZM. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is ZM last closing price.


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Optimized March 28, 2023.

risk 1 to make 3.3

Max Loss: $24  Max Win: $76

Probability of Profit (?)

Helium probability of profit 24%      Market probability of profit 21%

Expected Value (?)

Helium expected value $1      Market expected value $-6

Historical Performance: 17 Trades

Return: -80%     (-89% Annual)


Payout at Expiration


ZM trade payout at expiration

*The x-axis is the price of ZM. The y-axis represents potential profit or potential loss. The dashed blue line represents Helium future price uncertainty. The dashed orange line represents Market future price uncertainty. The vertical black line is ZM last closing price.


Become a more powerful investor.

    



Share Link:

Optimized March 28, 2023.