AES Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AES's commitment to renewable energy and a favorable call-to-put trading ratio suggest optimism. Implied volatility indicates potential undervaluation, setting the stage for a recovery.




Bearish Case: Weak price action, high historical mean reversion, and declining implied volatility point to persistent challenges and downside risks amid financial uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 50% chance of gradual price recovery driven by renewables.
  2. 30% chance of price decline due to persistent market stress.
  3. 20% likelihood of stabilizing around current levels with negligible movement.



May 20, 2025


AES Forecast

AES        AES
















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