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AI BUSE Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: First Busey's sustained institutional investment increases confidence, while historical trends indicate potential long-term price appreciation, with favorable returns anticipated over 2+ years.

Bearish Case: Regulatory scrutiny and potential economic downturns threaten BUSE's stability, supported by high implied volatility and the risk of significant price decline in the near term.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Regulatory impact (50%) - can depress prices.

2. Increased institutional interest (40%) - could stabilize and elevate BUSE.

3. Positive earnings surprises (30%) - may boost prices.

4. General economic downturn (20%) - may trigger further lows.

Trading Oracle: Consider initiating bear put spreads targeting $22.50 strike with expiration in 60 days. This capitalizes on high implied volatility, maximizing profit potential if BUSE faces downward pressure amidst current market conditions.

August 19, 2024

First Busey Forecast

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BUSE

DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.95)

WAL Western Alliance Bancorp (0.93)

IAT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Regional Banks (0.91)

STT State Street (0.89)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BUSE

BRZE Braze (-0.0)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.0)

MDB MongoDB (-0.0)

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APLD Applied Blockchain (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BUSE

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.75)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.76)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.77)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.78)

DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)

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