Metaculus Media Bias

Uncover sensationalism, opinion, and topical biases from Metaculus. Updated weekly.

         



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🗞️ Objective <-> Subjective 👁️ :

🗳 Political:

👀 Covering Responses:



Metaculus Social Media Impact (?): 0




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Metaculus Most Ideological Articles


😨 Prediction Market: Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050? (Any EU country) 69%

Prediction Market: Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year? (2030) 75%




Metaculus Most Opinionated Articles


💭 Prediction Market: Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue before 2025? 1%

💭 Prediction Market: If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term? (Nikki Haley) 95%

💭 Prediction Market: Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017? 79%




Metaculus Most Covering Responses


Prediction Market: If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term? (Ron DeSantis) 95%

😨 Prediction Market: Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050? (Any EU country) 69%




Metaculus Most Subjective Articles


Prediction Market: If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips? 53%

Prediction Market: Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? 0%

😨 Prediction Market: Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024? 2%




Metaculus Most Fearful Articles


😨 Prediction Market: Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070? 30%

😨 Prediction Market: Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070? 30%

😨 Prediction Market: Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024? 2%




Metaculus Most Politically Hawkish Articles


Prediction Market: Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029? 97%

Prediction Market: Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070? 30%

Prediction Market: Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024? 2%





Metaculus Recent Articles




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