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AI LMT Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: Lockheed Martin's strong defense contract backlog and increased global defense spending with resumed F-35 deliveries enhance growth prospects, backed by a stable geopolitical climate.

Bearish Case: Lingering supply chain challenges, F-35 investigation risks, and high implied volatility may dampen investor confidence, potentially eroding stock values amid geopolitical uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Defense spending increases due to rising geopolitical tensions (70% probability).

2. Supply chain issues persist, limiting production (30%).

3. Successful contracts boost investor confidence (60%).

4. F-35 investigations impact reputation negatively (40%).

Trading Oracle: Employ a bullish debit spread with LMT 580/590 calls, targeting the October 2024 expiry. This strategy captures potential upside from impending defense contracts while managing volatility risks, aiming for high reward-to-risk ratios due to current term structure.

August 27, 2024


Lockheed Martin Forecast

LMT      Lockheed Martin

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