AAOI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Rising AAOI implied volatility and increased call trading volumes signal potential upside due to anticipated positive earnings or partnerships.




Bearish Case: Ongoing financial losses and flat term structure of implied volatility suggest caution, with potential downside if earnings disappoint.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive earnings report boosts price: 40% chance.

2. Earnings miss, price declines: 30% chance.

3. Sustained flat performance: 30% chance.



June 05, 2025


Applied Optoelectronics Forecast

AAOI        Applied Optoelectronics
















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