ABM Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ABM shows resilience with strong dividend stability, diversified services, and optimistic investor sentiment. Historical data suggest potential medium-term rebounds.




Bearish Case: High put volume and backwardation in ABM's volatility suggest market apprehension, coupled with labor disputes and recent price declines.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Institutional investment uptick (60%): undervaluation.

2. Short-term price decline (30%): market uncertainty.

3. Positive earnings surprise (10%).




Trading Oracle: Utilize bull debit spreads targeting July 2025 60.00 C options. Backwardation and historical volatility support a longer-term bullish stance. Focus on high implied volatility to leverage potential rebounds with strategic entries.



January 09, 2025


ABM Industries Forecast

ABM        ABM Industries











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