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ACHC Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: The successful resolution of legal burdens below expectations and continued M&A opportunities could spur growth, supporting a potential recovery in ACHC's share price driven by investor confidence in long-term fundamentals.

Bearish Case: Despite a resolution of legal issues, uncertainties around Medicaid redeterminations and ongoing regulatory pressures may hinder growth, increasing downside risks in the short term as negative sentiment lingers.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive market reception of upcoming earnings report (60% probability).

2. Increased regulatory scrutiny impacts stock negatively (45%).

3. Medicaid redeterminations lead to patient volume losses (unknown probability).

4. M&A activity expands market share (65% probability).

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November 15, 2024

Acadia Healthcare Forecast

ACHC Acadia Healthcare

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ACHC

XRAY DENTSPLY Sirona (0.76)

ARKG ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.74)

COUR Coursera (0.73)

EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil (0.73)

BAX Baxter International (0.73)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACHC

SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands (-0.0)

G Genpact (-0.01)

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.01)

QURE uniQure (0.01)

RDFN Redfin (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACHC

HBM Hudbay Minerals (-0.78)

UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.79)

CRK Comstock Resources (-0.81)

FUTU Futu (-0.84)

MCHI BTC iShares MSCI China (-0.85)

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