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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: ACMR's innovative technologies and strong revenue guidance, combined with significantly low implied volatility relative to historical norms, present a strong bullish outlook, suggesting potential price appreciation as institutional interest grows.



Bearish Case: However, elevated implied volatility and significant insider selling signal potential declines. Continued pressure from market uncertainties and operational challenges could inhibit upward momentum, leading to a bearish stance.



Potential Outcomes:

1. (40%) Continued growth from innovation and positive earnings suggests price might approach $21.

2. (30%) Insider activities and market volatility induce stagnation around $19.

3. (20%) Decline due to poor earnings or external market forces, dropping below $17.

4. (10%) Unexpected technological breakthroughs drive prices beyond $22.



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October 27, 2024


ACM Research Forecast

ACMR        ACM Research

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SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (0.75)


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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACMR


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MS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MS  Morgan Stanley (0.0)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (-0.0)


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACMR


CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (-0.72)


WMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMT  Walmart (-0.73)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.73)


XEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XEL  Xcel Energy (-0.75)


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