AES Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AES's commitment to renewable energy and a favorable call-to-put trading ratio suggest optimism. Implied volatility indicates potential undervaluation, setting the stage for a recovery.




Bearish Case: Weak price action, high historical mean reversion, and declining implied volatility point to persistent challenges and downside risks amid financial uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 50% chance of gradual price recovery driven by renewables.
  2. 30% chance of price decline due to persistent market stress.
  3. 20% likelihood of stabilizing around current levels with negligible movement.



May 20, 2025


AES Forecast

AES        AES











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AEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEO  American Eagle Outfitters (0.91)


AMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMD  Advanced Micro Devices (0.91)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AES



BIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIP  Brookfield Infrastructure (-0.0)


JBLU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBLU  Jetblue Airways (-0.01)


CWEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWEN  Clearway Energy (-0.02)


CRGY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRGY  Crescent Energy Company - (0.02)


ACMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACMR  ACM Research (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AES



HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (-0.84)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.86)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (-0.86)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (-0.88)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.9)









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