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AES Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: AES's commitment to renewable energy and a favorable call-to-put trading ratio suggest optimism. Implied volatility indicates potential undervaluation, setting the stage for a recovery.



Bearish Case: Weak price action, high historical mean reversion, and declining implied volatility point to persistent challenges and downside risks amid financial uncertainties.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 50% chance of gradual price recovery driven by renewables.
  2. 30% chance of price decline due to persistent market stress.
  3. 20% likelihood of stabilizing around current levels with negligible movement.


May 20, 2025


AES Forecast

AES        AES

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AES


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.91)


AEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEO  American Eagle Outfitters (0.91)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (0.91)


TX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TX  Ternium S.A. - (0.9)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AES


HAYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAYW  Hayward (-0.01)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.02)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.03)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.03)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AES


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.85)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.86)


DFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFS  Discover Financial Services (-0.86)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.87)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.9)







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