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AFRM Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Affirm’s robust retailer partnerships and increased consumer adoption in the BNPL sector could drive revenue growth and market share expansion, highlighted by favorable volatility trends.



Bearish Case: Regulatory scrutiny and competition, combined with rising interest rates, might compress margins and hinder profitability, with high implied volatility indicating potential price corrections.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Partnership expansion boosts revenue (40%).
  • Regulatory hurdles constrain growth (30%).
  • Interest rate pressures lower margins (20%).
  • Volatility-driven price correction (10%).


April 13, 2025


Affirm Forecast

AFRM        Affirm

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