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AFRM Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: AFRM's strategic partnerships, particularly with major retailers, drive market penetration and user growth. Elevated consumer adoption reinforces revenue potential and bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility signals market uncertainty, with potential regulatory challenges and rising interest rates threatening margins. The BNPL sector faces ongoing scrutiny, impacting growth.



Potential Outcomes: Expansion into new financial products (55%). Interest rate pressure (80%). Regulatory changes impact (30%). Partnerships boost growth (60%). Competitive challenges (25%).



Trading Oracle: Employ a bullish debit spread by buying $65 calls and selling $67.50 calls expiring March 2025. Capitalize on bullish sentiment and elevated IV, with high reward:risk ratio. Expected high probability-of-profit, targeting short-term gains.


February 02, 2025


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V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (0.87)


TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (0.86)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (0.86)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AFRM


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (0.0)


ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.0)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.01)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.02)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AFRM


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.76)


NOV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOV  NOV (-0.77)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.78)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.8)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.83)







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