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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: AFRM has shown strong momentum with recent price increases and positive market sentiment. The volatility term structure suggests a bullish outlook as implied volatility is rising, indicating potential for price increases driven by upcoming favorable market events.



Bearish Case: Heightened regulatory scrutiny and economic uncertainty pose risks to AFRM's operations. The extremely high implied volatilities shown in options trading indicate potential for sharp downturns, suggesting a cautious approach amid market volatility.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued price growth due to partnerships (65%);

2. Regulatory hurdles leading to stagnation (25%);

3. Effective management of rising interest rates improving margins (10%).



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September 22, 2024


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AFRM


AAOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAOI  Applied Optoelectronics (0.85)


GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (0.8)


LUV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUV  Southwest Airlines (0.79)


KEYS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KEYS  Keysight (0.79)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AFRM


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.0)


HMY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HMY  Harmony Gold Mining (-0.0)


SCVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCVL  Shoe Carnival (0.0)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (0.0)


  FERG   (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AFRM


UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.6)


STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STAA  Staar Surgical (-0.62)


CVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVE  Cenovus Energy (-0.64)


SARK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SARK  Tuttle Capital Short Innovation (-0.68)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.68)







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