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AGS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The potential completion of the Brightstar acquisition at $12.50/share remains a strong catalyst, supported by stable price action and positive sentiment toward digital gaming growth Helium Helium.

Bearish Case: Regulatory hurdles and extremely high implied volatility (500%) suggest significant risk, with historical mean reversion posing further downside Helium Helium[56].

Potential Outcomes: Acquisition completes (60%): Price nears $12.50.
Regulatory delays (20%): Volatility spikes.
Deal failure (10%): Steep decline.
Price mean reversion (10%): Gradual fall.

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January 17, 2025

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