AIG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AIG's strong fundamentals and historical mean reversion, coupled with a low P/B ratio, support potential upside. Positive insider activity and strategic realignment provide further growth incentives.




Bearish Case: Low market interest and backwardation in volatility suggest potential stagnation. Persistently weak option volumes and external economic pressures may negatively impact price momentum.




Potential Outcomes: Growth from restructuring (~40%), stagnation from low interest (~40%), downturn from external shocks (~20%).



April 17, 2025


American International Forecast

AIG        American International











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AIG



SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.67)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.62)


GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (0.6)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.6)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.58)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AIG



SANM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SANM  Sanmina (0.0)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (-0.0)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.0)


DFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFS  Discover Financial Services (0.01)


SEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEE  Sealed Air (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AIG



AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.47)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (-0.48)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.5)


BKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKE  Buckle (-0.51)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (-0.61)









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