AIG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AIG's strong fundamentals and historical mean reversion, coupled with a low P/B ratio, support potential upside. Positive insider activity and strategic realignment provide further growth incentives.




Bearish Case: Low market interest and backwardation in volatility suggest potential stagnation. Persistently weak option volumes and external economic pressures may negatively impact price momentum.




Potential Outcomes: Growth from restructuring (~40%), stagnation from low interest (~40%), downturn from external shocks (~20%).



April 17, 2025


American International Forecast

AIG        American International











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SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.67)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.62)


GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (0.6)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.6)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.58)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AIG



UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (-0.0)


ARKF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKF  ARK Fintech Innovation (-0.0)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (0.0)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (-0.0)


MUX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUX  McEwen Mining (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AIG



JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.5)


BKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKE  Buckle (-0.51)


FLYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLYW  Flywire (-0.54)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (-0.54)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (-0.61)









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