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ALC Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Alcon (ALC) is likely to see robust growth driven by continued demand in the eye care sector, backed by positive historical performance data suggesting a strong chance of price recovery above current levels.

Bearish Case: Market pressures and high current valuations raise concerns; significant competition could undermine Alcon's growth, leading to a potential price decline based on elevated implied volatility in options trading.

Potential Outcomes: Continued growth in the eye care market (60% probability).
Competitive pressures limit growth potential (25% probability).
Unforeseen regulatory challenges arise (10% probability).
Market downturn impacts share prices (5% probability).

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November 26, 2024

Alcon Forecast

ALC Alcon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALC

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.94)

KO Coca-Cola (0.92)

IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties (0.92)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.9)

KKR KKR (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALC

IMNM Immunome (-0.0)

CLSK Cleanspark (-0.01)

AKBA Akebia Therapeutics (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.02)

VRNT Verint Systems (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALC

CAR Avis Budget (-0.86)

LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.87)

SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.87)

HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (-0.89)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.91)

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