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ALC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The acquisition of Village Roadshow's catalog boosts Alcon's media segment, potentially enhancing revenue streams and diversifying operations. Historical returns suggest potential for moderate growth.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and significant put option trading volumes indicate market uncertainty and potential downside risk. Recent price stagnation emphasizes vulnerability to competitive pressures.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Continued media-related revenue growth (40%).
  2. Market volatility persists impacting investor sentiment (30%).
  3. Unexpected regulatory challenges (20%).
  4. Macro downturn affects share price (10%).



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July 18, 2025


Alcon Forecast

ALC        Alcon

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALC


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (0.8)


O Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   O  Realty Income (0.73)


BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (0.71)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.69)


CURE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CURE  Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares (0.66)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALC


TH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TH  Target Hospitality Corp (-0.0)


FNV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNV  Franco-Nevada (-0.0)


WMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMG  Warner Music (0.0)


IE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IE  Ivanhoe Electric (-0.01)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALC


BUZZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BUZZ  VanEck Vectors Social Sentiment (-0.62)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (-0.62)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (-0.63)


UPWK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPWK  Upwork (-0.63)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (-0.66)







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