ALC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Alcon's recent FDA approvals for innovative surgical technologies may bolster market share and drive sales growth, especially in the expanding eye care market.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility in options signals market uncertainty; competitive pressures and high valuations may lead to a potential stock price pullback.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth in the eye care segment (70%).

2. Heightened competition causing market share loss (20%).

3. Regulatory challenges or legal issues impacting earnings (10%).


Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish long call debit spread on ALC, targeting a $95 strike expiring in August 2024. With a favorable implied volatility and solid historical return patterns, this strategy leverages potential growth while mitigating downside risks.


July 25, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALC



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.71)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.57)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.37)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.38)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALC



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.37)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.38)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.57)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.71)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALC



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.71)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.57)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.37)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.38)





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