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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Allstate shows signs of revenue growth driven by strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions, supporting a bullish outlook. Its continued patent development and recent expansions could ignite future growth.



Bearish Case: Legal challenges and rising catastrophic losses threaten Allstate's financial stability, potentially leading to decreased profitability. Market volatility remains a concern, dampening investor confidence.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Allstate's strategic growth initiatives succeed, improving stock performance (60%).

2. Legal issues escalate, harming financials (25%).

3. A spike in catastrophic losses triggers a significant downturn (10%).

4. Regulatory changes positively impact profitability (5%).



Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish debit spread by buying $185 calls and selling $190 calls with expiration in December 2024. This strategy aligns with projected profitability growth due to strategic initiatives while capturing potential upward price movement. High probability-of-profit estimated at 75%, with a strong risk-reward ratio.


November 19, 2024


Allstate Forecast

ALL        Allstate

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