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ALX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ALX's 25.1% increase over two years and strong cash reserves suggest potential recovery if institutional interest increases.

Bearish Case: ALX's high price-to-book ratio and historical decline patterns, combined with high debt, present significant downside risk.

Potential Outcomes: Stagnation due to macro uncertainties (40%)
Recovery from institutional investments (30%)
Decline from debt pressures (30%)

June 20, 2025

Alexander's Forecast

ALX Alexander's

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALX

XP XP (0.8)

F Ford Motor (0.78)

TMDX Transmedics (0.77)

GPC Genuine Parts (0.76)

BAX Baxter International (0.75)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALX

IREN IREN (0.0)

CPS Cooper-Standard (0.0)

HES Hess (-0.01)

DUK Duke Energy (-0.01)

ROK Rockwell Automation (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALX

PL Planet Labs PBC - (-0.63)

UAL United Airlines (-0.64)

HOOD Robinhood Markets (-0.64)

KODK Eastman Kodak (-0.66)

YPF YPF (-0.67)

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