ALX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ALX's 25.1% increase over two years and strong cash reserves suggest potential recovery if institutional interest increases.




Bearish Case: ALX's high price-to-book ratio and historical decline patterns, combined with high debt, present significant downside risk.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Stagnation due to macro uncertainties (40%)
  • Recovery from institutional investments (30%)
  • Decline from debt pressures (30%)



June 20, 2025


Alexander's Forecast

ALX        Alexander's











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALX



XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (0.8)


F Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   F  Ford Motor (0.78)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (0.77)


GPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GPC  Genuine Parts (0.76)


BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALX



IREN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IREN  IREN (0.0)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (0.0)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (-0.01)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.01)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALX



PL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PL  Planet Labs PBC - (-0.63)


UAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAL  United Airlines (-0.64)


HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (-0.64)


KODK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KODK  Eastman Kodak (-0.66)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (-0.67)









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