AMP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AMP's resilient growth trajectory, evidenced by rising implied volatility and stable historical returns, signals robust long-term prospects.




Bearish Case: Potential legal challenges and high valuations pose risks to AMP, with recent flat price movements reflecting uncertainty in market sentiment.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth (60%): Strong fundamentals support long-term progress.

2. Short-term stagnation (30%): High valuations and legal uncertainties.

3. Decline (10%): Potential overvaluation and economic shifts.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bull call spread: Buy June 2025 $540 calls, sell $560 calls. This leverages expected growth and manages downside risk, benefiting from the stable term structure with minimal volatility upticks.



February 12, 2025


Ameriprise Financial Forecast

AMP        Ameriprise Financial











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VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.92)


IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMP



LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.01)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.02)


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AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.03)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMP



IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.8)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.81)


AMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMN  AMN Healthcare Services (-0.84)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.85)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)









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