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AMP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AMP's resilient growth trajectory, evidenced by rising implied volatility and stable historical returns, signals robust long-term prospects.

Bearish Case: Potential legal challenges and high valuations pose risks to AMP, with recent flat price movements reflecting uncertainty in market sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth (60%): Strong fundamentals support long-term progress.

2. Short-term stagnation (30%): High valuations and legal uncertainties.

3. Decline (10%): Potential overvaluation and economic shifts.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bull call spread: Buy June 2025 $540 calls, sell $560 calls. This leverages expected growth and manages downside risk, benefiting from the stable term structure with minimal volatility upticks.

February 12, 2025

Ameriprise Financial Forecast

AMP Ameriprise Financial

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AMP

MFC Manulife Financial (0.94)

DDM ProShares Ultra Dow30 (0.92)

IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.91)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.91)

APP Applovin Corp (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMP

MNST Monster Beverage (-0.0)

DELL Dell (-0.01)

USAC USA Compression (-0.01)

FLNC Fluence Energy (-0.02)

ARKG ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMP

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.77)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.77)

LEA Lear (-0.8)

AVDL Avadel Pharmaceuticals (-0.81)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)

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