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AMPL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AMPL's innovative AI advancements and positive sentiment could drive significant demand growth. Historical data shows an upward trend in returns for longer holding periods.

Bearish Case: Bearish sentiment persists due to high implied volatility and negative historical returns over shorter periods. Legal challenges and market headwinds could exacerbate declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. AI-driven growth boosts AMPL's price (45%).

2. Persistent bearishness drives price down further (35%).

3. Market stability with minor volatility (20%).

Trading Oracle: Consider bullish debit spreads exploiting low volatility with AMPL 01/17/2025 12.50 C calls. Focus on 6-month horizon, leveraging AI potential. Manage risk through defined-credit exit strategies for unforeseen bearish outcomes.

January 14, 2025

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AMPL Amplitude

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with AMPL

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CRNC Cerence (0.86)

FRSH Freshworks (0.86)

PAYC Paycom Software (0.8)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMPL

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (-0.0)

SHAK Shake Shack (-0.0)

LYV Live Nation Entertainment (-0.0)

RDFN Redfin (0.01)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMPL

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.73)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.74)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (-0.77)

SHIP Seanergy Maritime (-0.77)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.84)

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