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ANF Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ANF's brand appeal and sales among Gen Z continue to strengthen, supported by high implied volatility indicating potential for upside movement.

Bearish Case: Persisting legal troubles and historical volatility suggest underlying risks, potentially leading to significant downward corrections.

Potential Outcomes: Price Increase (45%): Continuation of positive momentum driven by Gen Z interest.
Stability (30%): Mixed factors balance out.
Price Decline (25%): Legal issues and volatility impact negatively.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread: buy ANF $160 call and sell $165 call, expiring in ~30 days. Elevated implied volatility levels create opportunities for upside, and recent brand strength could drive potential gains.

January 07, 2025

Abercrombie & Fitch Forecast

ANF Abercrombie & Fitch

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ANF

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (0.8)

VGT Vanguard Information Technology (0.75)

WIX Wix.com (0.73)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (0.72)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.7)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ANF

V Visa (0.0)

INTU Intuit (0.01)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.01)

LCID Lucid (0.01)

ESTC Elastic (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ANF

WMG Warner Music (-0.72)

WY Weyerhaeuser (-0.73)

ABEV Ambev (-0.75)

BMEA Biomea Fusion (-0.76)

DNUT Krispy Kreme (-0.78)

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